Bayesian Inference
Bayesian Inference
Bayes' Rule
Bayesian Credible Intervals for a Batting Average
The Posterior Predictive
Shrinkage Estimation
The James-Stein Estimator
Beta-Binomial Empirical Bayes
A Beta-Binomial Derivation of the 37-37 Shrinkage Rule
Normal-Normal Empirical Bayes
Shrinkage Estimators for Counting Statistics
Correcting Parametric Empirical Bayesian Intervals using a Bootstrap
wOBA Shrinkage by the Multinomial-Dirichlet Model
wOBA Shrinkage by the Multinomial-Dirichlet Model
Frequentist Inference
Central Limit Theorem Estimation of a Batting Average
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of a Batting Average
The Delta Method for a Confidence Interval for Odds
Likelihood Ratio Intervals for a Batting Average
Confidence Interval for wOBA Based on the Multinomial Model
Stabilization Points
Estimating Theoretical Stabilization Points
More Offensive Stabilization Points
Offensive Stabilization Points through Time
Whip Stabilization by the Gamma-Poisson Model
More Pitching Stabilization Points
Pitching Stabilization Points through Time
Stabilization, Regression, Shrinkage, and Bayes
From Stabilization to Interval Estimation
2017 Stabilization Points
2018 Stabilization Points
2019 Stabilization Points
Other
A Quick Check for Independence between Runs Scored and Runs Allowed
Restroom Queues
Information Theory
Predictions
2015 Number of Win Predictions(Through May)
2015 Win Total Predictions (At All-Star Game)
2015 Win Total Predictions (Through July)
2015 Win Total Predictions (Through August)
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